INSA poll of 11 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,480
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP13.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,480 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Dec 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Dec 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.9average 15.9
- SPD -0.8average 26.8
- FDP +0.7average 12.3
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 21.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne103
- FDP89
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.