INSA poll of 6 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 2,119
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP13.5%+0.5
- AfD11.5%-0.5
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,119 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Dec 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 16.2
- FDP +0.9average 12.6
- AfD +0.8average 10.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 21.4
- Linke +0.4average 5.1
- SPD -0.3average 26.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD175
- CDU/CSU148
- Grüne101
- FDP91
- AfD78
- Linke37
- SPD + CDU/CSU323 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.