INSA poll of 4 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Nov 2021 to 3 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,348
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP13.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Nov 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,348 people were surveyed from 29 Nov 2021 to 3 Dec 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Nov 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 10.6
- Grüne -1.1average 16.1
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 21.9
- FDP +0.6average 12.4
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
- SPD -0.1average 26.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU144
- Grüne103
- FDP89
- AfD82
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.