INSA poll of 29 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 2,129
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP14.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke5.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Nov 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,129 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Nov 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.6average 12.4
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 21.9
- SPD -0.7average 25.7
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- Grüne -0.3average 16.3
- Linke +0.3average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD170
- CDU/CSU143
- Grüne109
- FDP95
- AfD75
- Linke38
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne422 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP408 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD388 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD327 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.