Single poll

INSA poll of 28 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
22 to 26 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,403
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%+1.0
  • FDP13.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke6.0%+0.5
  • Others7.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Nov 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,403 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.4average 10.6
  • Grüne -1.3average 16.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 21.9
  • Linke +0.8average 5.2
  • FDP +0.6average 12.4
  • SPD +0.3average 25.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 176 seatsCDU/CSU: 142 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsFDP: 88 seatsAfD: 81 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD176
  • CDU/CSU142
  • Grüne102
  • FDP88
  • AfD81
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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