Single poll

INSA poll of 7 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
4 to 7 Feb 2022
Respondents
2,067
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Feb 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,067 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Feb 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +2.0average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 24.8
  • Grüne -1.2average 16.2
  • SPD -1.1average 24.1
  • Linke +1.1average 5.9
  • AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 174 seatsSPD: 154 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsFDP: 80 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU174
  • SPD154
  • Grüne101
  • FDP80
  • AfD74
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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