INSA poll of 14 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%-0.5
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.5
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP13.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Nov 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 21.1
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- FDP -0.8average 13.8
- Grüne -0.7average 15.7
- SPD -0.6average 26.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne103
- FDP89
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.