INSA poll of 9 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 2,112
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.5%-0.5
- CDU/CSU20.5%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP13.5%-0.5
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Nov 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 2,112 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Nov 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 21.2
- Linke +0.7average 4.8
- AfD +0.4average 10.1
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
- FDP -0.3average 13.8
- SPD ±0average 26.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD180
- CDU/CSU140
- Grüne109
- FDP92
- AfD72
- Linke37
- SPD + CDU/CSU320 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP381 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.