Single poll

INSA poll of 6 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
1 to 5 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,212
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP14.0%+0.5
  • AfD11.0%-0.5
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Nov 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,212 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +0.9average 26.1
  • FDP +0.8average 13.2
  • AfD +0.5average 10.5
  • Linke -0.5average 5.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 21.4
  • Grüne -0.4average 15.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 183 seatsCDU/CSU: 142 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsFDP: 95 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD183
  • CDU/CSU142
  • Grüne102
  • FDP95
  • AfD74
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP380 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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