INSA poll of 2 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Oct 2021 to 1 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 2,140
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP13.5%+0.5
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,140 people were surveyed from 29 Oct 2021 to 1 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 21.4
- SPD +1.0average 26.0
- AfD +0.7average 10.8
- Linke -0.7average 5.7
- Grüne +0.6average 15.4
- FDP +0.5average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU136
- Grüne108
- FDP91
- AfD78
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP382 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD369 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.