INSA poll of 31 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,503
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP13.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Oct 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.0average 26.0
- Linke -0.7average 5.7
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 21.3
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- FDP -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU142
- Grüne108
- FDP88
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP379 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.