INSA poll of 25 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 2,105
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP14.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,105 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 26.0
- FDP +1.3average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 21.2
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- Grüne +0.6average 15.4
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD188
- CDU/CSU134
- Grüne107
- FDP94
- AfD74
- Linke33
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP389 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD369 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.