INSA poll of 24 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%+1.5
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- FDP14.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.0average 6.0
- Grüne +1.6average 15.4
- FDP +1.3average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 21.2
- SPD +1.0average 26.0
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD191
- CDU/CSU142
- Grüne120
- FDP99
- AfD78
- SPD + CDU/CSU333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP410 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.