INSA poll of 18 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 2,140
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU18.5%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP15.0%+2.0
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.5%. 2,140 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2021, FDP gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower and FDP 2.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.9average 21.4
- FDP +2.6average 12.4
- SPD +2.0average 26.0
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- AfD +0.8average 10.7
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD188
- CDU/CSU124
- Grüne107
- FDP101
- AfD77
- Linke33
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne419 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP413 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP396 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD389 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD366 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.