INSA poll of 16 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,195
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD28.0%-0.5
- CDU/CSU19.0%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP13.0%-1.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 1,195 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Oct 2021, FDP loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 21.4
- SPD +2.0average 26.0
- Linke -2.0average 6.0
- FDP +0.6average 12.4
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD203
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne116
- FDP94
- AfD80
- SPD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
- SPD + Grüne319 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.