INSA poll of 11 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 2,101
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU19.5%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP14.5%+0.5
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.5%. 2,101 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Oct 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.3 points higher and FDP 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.3average 26.2
- FDP +2.3average 12.2
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 21.5
- Linke -2.0average 6.0
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD201
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne113
- FDP102
- AfD77
- SPD + CDU/CSU338 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP416 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.