INSA poll of 10 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,509
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%-0.5
- FDP14.0%+0.5
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,509 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 26.2
- FDP +1.8average 12.2
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 21.5
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD192
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne103
- FDP96
- AfD68
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP391 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.