INSA poll of 5 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- FDP13.5%+1.5
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Oct 2021, FDP gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.1 points higher and Linke 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.1average 25.9
- Linke -1.7average 6.2
- FDP +1.6average 11.9
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 22.0
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- Grüne ±0average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD200
- CDU/CSU150
- Grüne111
- FDP97
- AfD72
- SPD + CDU/CSU350 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP408 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD383 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.