INSA poll of 15 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 2,091
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Nov 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,091 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Nov 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 10.1
- FDP -0.8average 13.8
- Grüne -0.7average 15.7
- Linke +0.6average 4.9
- SPD +0.4average 26.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 21.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU142
- Grüne102
- FDP88
- AfD78
- Linke37
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP373 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.