INSA poll of 20 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 2,054
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.5%+0.5
- Others8.5%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,054 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 16.1
- SPD -0.6average 25.6
- FDP +0.6average 11.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 21.5
- AfD -0.1average 11.1
- Linke +0.1average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD172
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne103
- FDP83
- AfD76
- Linke45
- SPD + CDU/CSU323 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.