INSA poll of 18 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+0.5
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke6.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Sep 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Sep 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 16.1
- FDP +0.6average 11.4
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 21.5
- SPD +0.4average 25.6
- Linke -0.4average 6.4
- AfD -0.1average 11.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD180
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne104
- FDP83
- AfD76
- Linke42
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.