Single poll

INSA poll of 13 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
10 to 13 Sep 2021
Respondents
2,063
Method
Online
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU20.5%+0.5
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • FDP12.5%-0.5
  • AfD11.5%+0.5
  • Linke6.5%+0.5
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 2,063 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2021, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.3average 16.3
  • FDP +0.9average 11.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 21.3
  • SPD +0.4average 25.6
  • Linke +0.2average 6.3
  • AfD +0.1average 11.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 178 seatsCDU/CSU: 140 seatsGrüne: 103 seatsFDP: 86 seatsAfD: 79 seatsLinke: 44 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD178
  • CDU/CSU140
  • Grüne103
  • FDP86
  • AfD79
  • Linke44
  • SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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