INSA poll of 5 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Aug 2021 to 3 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,427
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-0.5
- FDP13.0%-0.5
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,427 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2021 to 3 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Aug 2021, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 22.6
- SPD +1.5average 23.5
- Grüne -1.3average 17.3
- FDP +1.1average 11.9
- AfD +1.1average 10.9
- Linke +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD170
- CDU/CSU136
- Grüne108
- FDP88
- AfD81
- Linke47
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne414 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP394 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD387 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke353 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.