INSA poll of 6 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 2,052
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.5%+0.5
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- FDP12.5%-0.5
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Sep 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 2,052 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Sep 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 23.5
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 22.6
- Grüne -1.8average 17.3
- FDP +0.6average 11.9
- Linke -0.2average 6.7
- AfD +0.1average 10.9
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU140
- Grüne106
- FDP86
- AfD75
- Linke45
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.