INSA poll of 30 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,015
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.5%-0.5
- FDP13.5%+0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,015 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.8 points lower and SPD 3.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.8average 23.8
- SPD +3.6average 21.4
- FDP +1.8average 11.7
- Grüne -1.4average 17.9
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU136
- Grüne112
- FDP91
- AfD75
- Linke47
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne417 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP396 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.