Single poll

INSA poll of 28 August 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
23 to 27 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,247
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD24.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-2.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP13.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,247 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower and SPD 2.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.8average 23.8
  • SPD +2.6average 21.4
  • FDP +1.3average 11.7
  • Grüne -0.9average 17.9
  • Linke -0.8average 6.8
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 164 seatsCDU/CSU: 144 seatsGrüne: 117 seatsFDP: 89 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD164
  • CDU/CSU144
  • Grüne117
  • FDP89
  • AfD75
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne425 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP397 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD383 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD328 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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