INSA poll of 23 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,119
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
- SPD23.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,119 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 4.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.5average 18.5
- CDU/CSU -2.9average 25.9
- Grüne -1.7average 18.7
- FDP +1.4average 11.6
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU154
- SPD154
- Grüne114
- FDP87
- AfD74
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne422 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.