INSA poll of 22 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,352
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU22.0%-3.0
- SPD22.0%+2.0
- Grüne17.0%-0.5
- FDP13.0%+0.5
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,352 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.9 points lower and SPD 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.9average 25.9
- SPD +3.5average 18.5
- Grüne -1.7average 18.7
- FDP +1.4average 11.6
- AfD +1.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU149
- SPD149
- Grüne115
- FDP88
- AfD81
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.