INSA poll of 16 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,080
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- FDP12.5%+0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,080 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.4 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.4average 17.6
- Grüne -1.7average 19.2
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 26.3
- FDP +0.8average 11.7
- Linke -0.5average 7.0
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- SPD136
- Grüne119
- FDP85
- AfD75
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne426 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD331 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.