INSA poll of 14 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,450
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
- SPD20.0%+2.5
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- FDP12.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke7.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,450 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.4average 17.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 26.3
- Grüne -1.2average 19.2
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU169
- SPD136
- Grüne122
- FDP81
- AfD75
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.