INSA poll of 10 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,118
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%-0.5
- SPD17.5%-0.5
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- FDP12.5%+0.5
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.5%
- Others5.5%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 2,118 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Aug 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 19.6
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 27.2
- AfD +0.9average 10.6
- SPD +0.8average 16.7
- FDP +0.7average 11.8
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.0
- Linke -0.2average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD121
- Grüne121
- FDP87
- AfD80
- Linke45
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.