INSA poll of 8 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.5
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 19.6
- SPD +1.3average 16.7
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 27.2
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- Linke +0.3average 6.7
- FDP +0.2average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD124
- Grüne123
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.