INSA poll of 2 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jul 2021 to 2 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,080
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others5.5%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,080 people were surveyed from 30 Jul 2021 to 2 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Aug 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.3average 15.7
- Grüne -1.4average 19.4
- FDP +1.2average 11.8
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 28.3
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD120
- Grüne120
- FDP87
- AfD73
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne423 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.