INSA poll of 1 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,196
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- SPD17.0%-0.5
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,196 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jul 2021, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 28.3
- SPD +1.3average 15.7
- FDP +1.2average 11.8
- Linke -1.1average 7.1
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne123
- SPD117
- FDP89
- AfD75
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.