INSA poll of 27 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD17.5%+0.5
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2021, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 19.6
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 28.7
- SPD +1.7average 15.8
- AfD +1.7average 10.3
- FDP +1.6average 11.4
- Linke -0.9average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD119
- Grüne118
- FDP88
- AfD81
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.