INSA poll of 25 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,316
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+0.5
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,316 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 28.7
- Grüne -1.6average 19.6
- FDP +1.6average 11.4
- SPD +1.2average 15.8
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne122
- SPD115
- FDP88
- AfD75
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.