INSA poll of 19 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,064
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,064 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 19.9
- AfD +1.4average 10.1
- Linke -1.2average 7.2
- FDP +0.9average 11.1
- SPD +0.7average 15.8
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 28.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- Grüne122
- SPD112
- FDP81
- AfD78
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.