INSA poll of 18 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,354
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,354 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jul 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 19.9
- SPD +1.2average 15.8
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 28.9
- FDP +0.9average 11.1
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne122
- SPD115
- FDP81
- AfD75
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.