INSA poll of 12 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,087
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- FDP12.5%+0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,087 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jul 2021, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.3 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.3average 20.3
- FDP +1.5average 11.0
- SPD +1.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 29.1
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD116
- Grüne116
- FDP85
- AfD75
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne422 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke323 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.