INSA poll of 10 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 9 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,352
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,352 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jul 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.3average 20.3
- SPD +1.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 29.1
- FDP +1.0average 11.0
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- Linke +0.8average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD115
- Grüne115
- FDP81
- AfD75
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.