INSA poll of 4 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jun 2021 to 2 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,352
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.5
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,352 people were surveyed from 28 Jun 2021 to 2 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 20.5
- SPD +1.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 28.8
- FDP +0.8average 11.2
- AfD +0.1average 9.9
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne123
- SPD116
- FDP82
- AfD69
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD431 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.