INSA poll of 28 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 2,060
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%+1.5
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,060 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.4 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.4average 21.4
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 27.9
- FDP +1.4average 11.6
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- Linke +0.5average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- Grüne119
- SPD106
- FDP86
- AfD73
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD421 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.