INSA poll of 27 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-0.5
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.5
- FDP12.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%+0.5
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jun 2021, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 21.4
- SPD +1.7average 15.3
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- FDP +0.4average 11.6
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 27.9
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne127
- SPD114
- FDP80
- AfD74
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD429 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.