Single poll

INSA poll of 22 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
18 to 21 Jun 2021
Respondents
2,082
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU28.5%+0.5
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.5%-0.5
  • FDP14.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.5%-0.5
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • Others5.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jun 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,082 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jun 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.2 points lower and FDP 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.2average 21.2
  • FDP +2.1average 11.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.7
  • SPD +0.3average 15.2
  • Linke -0.2average 7.2
  • AfD +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsSPD: 103 seatsFDP: 93 seatsAfD: 70 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne127
  • SPD103
  • FDP93
  • AfD70
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke330 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP323 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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