INSA poll of 20 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- Grüne20.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- FDP13.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jun 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 21.6
- FDP +1.2average 11.8
- Linke -1.1average 7.1
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- FDP87
- AfD74
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.