INSA poll of 14 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 2,038
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- Grüne19.5%-0.5
- SPD16.5%+0.5
- FDP13.5%+0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 19.5%. 2,038 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.6 points lower and FDP 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 22.1
- FDP +1.8average 11.7
- SPD +1.6average 14.9
- Linke -0.9average 6.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 26.9
- AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne131
- SPD111
- FDP90
- AfD74
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD426 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.