Single poll

INSA poll of 12 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
7 to 11 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,401
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
  • Grüne20.0%-0.5
  • SPD16.0%+0.5
  • FDP13.0%-0.5
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jun 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,401 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jun 2021, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.1average 22.1
  • FDP +1.3average 11.7
  • SPD +1.1average 14.9
  • Linke -0.9average 6.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.9
  • AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsGrüne: 135 seatsSPD: 108 seatsFDP: 88 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • Grüne135
  • SPD108
  • FDP88
  • AfD75
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP331 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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