INSA poll of 7 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 2,015
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+0.5
- Grüne20.5%-0.5
- SPD15.5%-1.5
- FDP13.5%+1.5
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 2,015 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jun 2021, SPD loses 1.5 points, FDP gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.9 points lower and FDP 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.9average 23.4
- FDP +1.7average 11.8
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 25.6
- SPD +0.6average 14.9
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne137
- SPD104
- FDP90
- AfD74
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD419 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.