INSA poll of 6 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 31 May 2021 to 4 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,380
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+0.5
- Grüne21.0%-0.5
- SPD17.0%+1.5
- FDP12.0%-1.5
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,380 people were surveyed from 31 May 2021 to 4 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jun 2021, SPD gains 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower and SPD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 23.4
- SPD +2.1average 14.9
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- Linke -0.9average 6.9
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
- FDP +0.2average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne141
- SPD114
- FDP81
- AfD80
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD429 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.