INSA poll of 1 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 31 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,040
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- Grüne21.5%-0.5
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- FDP13.5%+0.5
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 28 to 31 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 May 2021, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower and FDP 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 23.9
- FDP +1.7average 11.8
- SPD +0.5average 15.0
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- Linke -0.2average 6.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 25.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU172
- Grüne145
- SPD104
- FDP91
- AfD74
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD337 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.